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BMI View: Reduced government revenues amid lower oil prices will negatively impact Saudi military spending growth in the short term. However, facilitated by high oil production and a strong fiscal position, the kingdom's defence budget will see robust long-term expansion driven by Riyadh's rivalry with Tehran, risks of spillover from instability in neighbouring states and rising threats from Islamist militancy, sectarian violence and social unrest. Efforts to secure land borders, fight terrorism and assist allies in regional conflicts will drive procurement of ground and air equipment, while the need to protect the kingdom's territory and shipping routes from Iran will drive investment into strengthening naval, as well as air defence capabilities. Work to develop the local defence sector under Vision 2030 will take many years, and domestic defence companies' ability to meet requests for technologically advanced equipment will remain limited over our forecast period.

Recent Developments
-As part of its Vision 2030 plan, the Saudi government seeks to increase the share of defence spending on locally-produced equipment and services to 50% in the next 15 years.
-Cuts in public spending and subsidies are being undertaken, and may raise the longer-term potential for social unrest.
-Tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran have intensified. Riyadh's execution of prominent Shi'a cleric Nimr al-Nimr - whi

BMI Industry View ... 5
Table: Defence Expenditure Headline Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2015-2020) 5
SWOT Analysis 8
Defence Industry SWOT 8
Industry Forecast .. 10
Defence Expenditure . 10
Table: Defence Expenditure (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) 11
Table: Defence Expenditure (Saudi Arabia 2020-2025) 11
Defence Trade 13
Industry Risk Reward Index ... 17
Defence Industry Risk Reward Index ........ 17
Table: Middle East and Africa - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 17
Rewards ........ 18
Risks .... 18
Market Overview ... 20
Defence Market Overview .... 20
Domestic Defence Sector .... 20
Domestic Defence Market ... 24
Armed Forces Overview ....... 28
Armed Forces . 28
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Saudi Arabia 2008-2013) . 29
Security Overview .. 32
Domestic Threats ..... 32
Regional Threats ...... 36
International Threats 40
Company Profile .... 42
BAE Systems .... 42
Thales International ... 44
Methodology . 45
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 45
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 46
Sector-Specific Methodology ........ 48
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators 48
Weighting ...... 49
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index . . . 49
Saudi Arabia Infrastructure Report
BMI View: We significantly downgraded our short-term outlook for the Saudi Arabian construction sector on the back of liquidity in the market severely drying up, following a reduction in government spending. Beyond 2016 the goals of Vision 2030 will be key to opening up the infrastructure market with the potential of private investment
Saudi Arabia Insurance Report
BMI View: Within the non-life segment, growth in premiums through the forecast period will continue to bedriven by developments in two sub-sectors. There should be higher volumes (if not prices) in the motorvehicle insurance sub-sector, thanks to the expansion in the number of vehicles on Saudi Arabia's vehicles.Higher volumes and inflation in heal
Saudi Arabia: Operators Will Focus on Mobile Network Enhancements and Enterprises to Drive Growth
The telecommunications market in Saudi Arabia generated US$18.8bn in service revenue in 2016, an increase over 2015. Mobile data will emerge as the largest revenue-contributing segment by 2020. Over the next five years, operators can benefit from the opportunities existing in offering enterprise services, VoIP and mobile data. Operators are investi
Saudi Arabia Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report
BMI View: The combined value of Saudi Arabia's pharmaceutical and healthcare markets is the largest in the Middle East and Africa region. The Kingdom's National Transformation Program, a key part of Vision 2030, reinstates the government's commitment to improving healthcare provision in the country. Nonetheless, the rising burden of non
Saudi Arabia Petrochemicals Report
The Saudi government is targeting national petrochemicals output of 115mn tonnes in 2016, which represents a 46% increase since 2013. There are 26 petrochemicals projects under construction at a cost of USD15bn while another 42 are planned over the next five years at an estimated cost of USD46bn. However, there is the ongoing threat fro

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