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The Saudi government is targeting national petrochemicals output of 115mn tonnes in 2016, which represents a 46% increase since 2013. There are 26 petrochemicals projects under construction at a cost of USD15bn while another 42 are planned over the next five years at an estimated cost of USD46bn. However, there is the ongoing threat from growth in Iranian exports and the slowdown in the Chinese market. The scale of the Saudi industry should secure the country's position as one of the highest-scoring petrochemicals-producing countries in the world. Moreover, the industry is moving increasingly towards mixed feedstocks, which should allow some flexibility in defending margins in a low oil-price environment.

Saudi petrochemicals earnings have been hit hard by falling product prices as they are closely tied to the price of oil. Petrochemical producers' profits are narrowing as product prices are linked to crude prices, which have remained stubbornly low. Saudi producers will be unable to compensate for the loss of this margin by increasing product prices. Instead, they will have to improve efficiency, although they are already some of the lowest-cost producers globally.

BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT ...... 8
Political . 10
Economic ........ 12
Operational Risk ....... 14
Industry Forecast .. 16
Table: Saudi Arabia Petrochemicals Capacity, 2012-2020 . . 19
Macroeconomic Forecast ...... 22
Economic Outlook ..... 22
Industry Risk/Reward Index ... 29
MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index ... 29
Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index - Q4 2016 . . 33
Saudi Arabia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index . 34
Market Overview ... 35
Table: Saudi Arabia - Cracker Capacity '000tpa . . . 38
Industry Trends And Developments ........ 40
Developments . 40
Fertiliser ....... 47
Other Projects 47
Upstream Resources . 48
Company Profile .... 50
Sabic ..... 50
Sipchem . 54
Chevron Phillips ....... 56
ExxonMobil ..... 58
Royal Dutch Shell ...... 60
Saudi Aramco .. 62
Regional Overview 67
Middle East And Africa Overview ... 67
Global Industry Overview ........ 73
Demographic Forecast .. 80
Demographic Outlook 80
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) . . . . 81
Table: Key Population Ratios (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) . . . . 81
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) . 82
Table: Population By Age Group (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 82
Table: Population By Age Group % (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) . . 83
Glossary ........ 85
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms . . . . 85
Methodology . 86
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 86
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 88
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . . 89
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 90
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