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BMI View: Given Saudi Arabia's dependence on oil and the outlook for the global oil market, we expect economic growth to be lower in 2016 and 2017 than in the recent past, and we expect the performance of the commercial real estate sector in the short term to be steady rather than growing.

Saudi Arabia's economy has experienced strong growth in recent years, reflecting high oil prices and output, strong activity in the services sector and rising government spending. The rise in oil prices and high production brought with it large external and fiscal surpluses, helping government debt to fall significantly. However, while the economic growth outlook remains favourable, the substantial drop in the price of oil since mid-2014 and in particular in the first few weeks of 2016, to below USD30 a barrel, poses a significant risk to overall performance.
 

BMI Industry View . 7
SWOT  9
Political .. 11
Economic  13
Operational Risk . 14
Industry Forecast  16
Office Forecast ... 16
Table: Office Rental Rates, 2010-2016 (per square metre per month) . . . 19
Table: Office Yields, 2010-2020 (%) . 20
Retail Forecast .... 20
Table: Retail Rental Rates, 2010-2016 (per square metre per month) . . . 23
Table: Retail Yields, 2010-2020 (%) . . 24
Industrial Forecast ......... 25
Table: Industrial Rental Rates, 2010-2016 (per square metre per month) . . . . . 27
Table: Industrial Yields, 2010-2020 (%) . . . 29
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview ....... 30
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Saudi Arabia 2014-2024) . . . . 30
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Projects . . . 36
Macroeconomic Forecasts ....... 37
Economic Analysis .......... 37
Table: Economic Activity (Saudi Arabia 2010-2019) . . 44
Industry Risk Reward Ratings .. 45
Saudi Arabia - Risk/Reward Index  45
Table: Middle East and Africa Real Estate Risk Reward Index . . . . 45
Rewards  45
Risks ..... 46
Market Overview . 48
Competitive Landscape . 50
Property Developers ...... 50
Property Managers ....... 52
Demographic Forecast .. 54
Demographic Outlook ..... 54
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 55
Table: Key Population Ratios (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) . . . . 55
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) . . . . . 56
Table: Population By Age Group (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 56
Table: Population By Age Group % (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) . . . 57
Methodology ........ 59
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 59
Sources . 60
Risk/Reward Index Methodology . 61
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 63

Saudi Arabia Infrastructure Report
BMI View: We significantly downgraded our short-term outlook for the Saudi Arabian construction sector on the back of liquidity in the market severely drying up, following a reduction in government spending. Beyond 2016 the goals of Vision 2030 will be key to opening up the infrastructure market with the potential of private investment
Saudi Arabia Insurance Report
Saudi Arabia Insurance Report
Saudi Arabia: Operators Will Focus on Mobile Network Enhancements and Enterprises to Drive Growth
The telecommunications market in Saudi Arabia generated US$18.8bn in service revenue in 2016, an increase over 2015. Mobile data will emerge as the largest revenue-contributing segment by 2020. Over the next five years, operators can benefit from the opportunities existing in offering enterprise services, VoIP and mobile data. Operators are investi
Saudi Arabia Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report
BMI View: The combined value of Saudi Arabia's pharmaceutical and healthcare markets is the largest in the Middle East and Africa region. The Kingdom's National Transformation Program, a key part of Vision 2030, reinstates the government's commitment to improving healthcare provision in the country. Nonetheless, the rising burden of non
Saudi Arabia Petrochemicals Report
The Saudi government is targeting national petrochemicals output of 115mn tonnes in 2016, which represents a 46% increase since 2013. There are 26 petrochemicals projects under construction at a cost of USD15bn while another 42 are planned over the next five years at an estimated cost of USD46bn. However, there is the ongoing threat fro

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