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BMI View: This quarter we maintain our negative near-term view on the Saudi Arabian autos sector. We continue to target a 26.2% fall in sales over 2016, although certain luxury brands may outperform.

Key Views
-The commercial vehicle segment will underperform over the coming two years, as heavy vehicle demand is dampened by government cutbacks in infrastructure spending.
• We continue to believe that the planned introduction of VAT in 2018 may prompt consumers to buy greater numbers of new passenger cars in 2017 before the tax is implemented.
• Chinese brands Changan and Chery were launched in the country in May 2016, underlining our view that there remain opportunities in the lower priced car segment, despite the current market slowdown.
BMI Industry View ............. 7
Key Views ... 7
SWOT ...... 8
Industry Forecast ............ 10
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2014-2020) . . 10
Latest Developments . 10
Structural Trends ..... 10
Passenger Cars ......... 14
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2014-2020) . . . . 14
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers ............. 14
Key Players ............ 15
Table: Saudi Arabia - Top 10 Best-Selling Manufacturers, 2015 . . 15
Commercial Vehicles .. 16
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2014-2020) . . . . 16
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers ............. 16
Industry Risk/Reward Index ......... 17
Region Losing Global Standing . 17
Saudi Arabia On The Brink ...... 18
Morocco Becomes A Regional Bright Spot  18
Company Profile  19
Abdul Latif Jameel Group (Toyota) ........... 19
Hyundai Motors ........ 21
Regional Overview .......... 22
MENA ....... 22
Table: MENA Autos Production Investment 22
Morocco Makes Its Mark ......... 23
Oman Becoming A GCC Hub ... 23
PSA Commitment A Win For Iran ............ 23
Demographic Forecast ... 24
Demographic Outlook  24
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 25
Table: Key Population Ratios (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) . . . . 25
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) . . . . . 26
Table: Population By Age Group (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 26
Table: Population By Age Group % (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) . . . 27
Methodology ...... 29
Industry Forecasts .... 29
Sector-Specific Methodology .... 30
Sources .... 30
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ............. 31
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators . . . . 32
Saudi Arabia Infrastructure Report
BMI View: We significantly downgraded our short-term outlook for the Saudi Arabian construction sector on the back of liquidity in the market severely drying up, following a reduction in government spending. Beyond 2016 the goals of Vision 2030 will be key to opening up the infrastructure market with the potential of private investment
Saudi Arabia Insurance Report
Saudi Arabia Insurance Report
Saudi Arabia: Operators Will Focus on Mobile Network Enhancements and Enterprises to Drive Growth
The telecommunications market in Saudi Arabia generated US$18.8bn in service revenue in 2016, an increase over 2015. Mobile data will emerge as the largest revenue-contributing segment by 2020. Over the next five years, operators can benefit from the opportunities existing in offering enterprise services, VoIP and mobile data. Operators are investi
Saudi Arabia Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report
BMI View: The combined value of Saudi Arabia's pharmaceutical and healthcare markets is the largest in the Middle East and Africa region. The Kingdom's National Transformation Program, a key part of Vision 2030, reinstates the government's commitment to improving healthcare provision in the country. Nonetheless, the rising burden of non
Saudi Arabia Petrochemicals Report
The Saudi government is targeting national petrochemicals output of 115mn tonnes in 2016, which represents a 46% increase since 2013. There are 26 petrochemicals projects under construction at a cost of USD15bn while another 42 are planned over the next five years at an estimated cost of USD46bn. However, there is the ongoing threat fro

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